Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.244612 2.561120 2.906427 3.311164 3.772658 4.282604 4.889052
2025-08-31 1.763741 2.195131 2.707823 3.362304 4.176177 5.155849 6.426208
2025-09-07 1.469574 1.941533 2.536412 3.341758 4.404875 5.762289 7.630790
2025-09-14 1.248961 1.732762 2.372652 3.281696 4.541968 6.230902 8.672694
2025-09-21 1.091528 1.579946 2.253495 3.251233 4.694606 6.711979 9.755811
2025-09-28 0.960923 1.444675 2.137184 3.202157 4.802649 7.125490 10.766972
2025-10-05 0.924673 1.439466 2.202138 3.416098 5.305570 8.144487 12.754645
2025-10-12 0.847332 1.362133 2.149336 3.442795 5.522201 8.748047 14.159936
2025-10-19 0.801991 1.328649 2.158220 3.562522 5.889686 9.609876 16.044878
2025-10-26 0.733464 1.249957 2.086485 3.542771 6.025894 10.108977 17.377760
2025-11-02 0.675200 1.181934 2.024619 3.531131 6.170400 10.628062 18.783539
2025-11-09 0.613705 1.102029 1.934749 3.461568 6.206230 10.961620 19.891228
2025-11-16 0.573631 1.059986 1.913068 3.522304 6.500123 11.809513 22.075650
2025-11-23 0.534634 1.016647 1.886322 3.574222 6.789565 12.689527 24.437530
2025-11-30 0.490071 0.957667 1.824296 3.552486 6.936815 13.319109 26.388217
2025-12-07 0.445352 0.893307 1.745169 3.488608 6.994444 13.781620 28.058050
2025-12-14 0.409436 0.842198 1.685829 3.456212 7.108361 14.360023 30.014026
2025-12-21 0.375210 0.790751 1.620402 3.404022 7.175293 14.848597 31.832542
2025-12-28 0.372914 0.804870 1.687788 3.631539 7.842208 16.617784 36.525723
2026-01-04 0.351152 0.775415 1.662350 3.659930 8.088982 17.534847 39.475965
2026-01-11 0.340080 0.767881 1.682060 3.787257 8.562009 18.976718 43.733171
2026-01-18 0.317265 0.731920 1.636954 3.766252 8.702524 19.705724 46.450500
2026-01-25 0.297134 0.699975 1.597544 3.753874 8.860642 20.487347 49.368913